Analyzing India

As The NIFTY is Marking New Highs...

Milan Vaishnav

Milan Vaishnav


The Indian headline index NIFTY ($NIFTY) moved past its double top resistance level of 12103 on a closing basis, ending at a fresh life-time high at 12221.25. However, looking at the broader NIFTY500 Index ($CNX500) throws up some interesting insights.

The above chart tells a story of a thousand words. The first time when the markets peaked in early 2018, it was a secular rise. This was reflected in the RS Line (the NIFTY 500 index compared against the NIFTY50 index) which was seen secularly rising.

However, since around early 2018, the broader markets have revisited peak levels 4 times again and, each time it did so, was supported by fewer and fewer stocks. This, again, is reflected in the RS Line, which has been steadily declining and is presently at its new low. This, in general, points towards the fact that the the broader markets in India are increasingly underperforming the frontline index on a continuing basis at present.


Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA

Consulting Technical Analyst,

www.EquityResearch.asia

Milan Vaishnav
About the author: , CMT, MSTA is a capital market professional with experience spanning close to two decades. His area of expertise includes consulting in Portfolio/Funds Management and Advisory Services. Milan is the founder of ChartWizard FZE (UAE) and Gemstone Equity Research & Advisory Services. As a Consulting Technical Research Analyst and with his experience in the Indian Capital Markets of over 15 years, he has been delivering premium India-focused Independent Technical Research to the Clients. He presently contributes on a daily basis to ET Markets and The Economic Times of India. He also authors one of the India's most accurate "Daily / Weekly Market Outlook" -- A Daily / Weekly Newsletter,  currently in its 18th year of publication. Learn More