Analyzing India

A Potential Breakout from a Bollinger Band Squeeze

Milan Vaishnav

Milan Vaishnav


SBIN.in (State Bank Of India)

SBI.in has seen a prolonged period of low volatility over the past several weeks, which has led to contraction of the Bollinger bands. Periods of low volatility are often followed by the periods of high volatility. The probability of the sharp move in price increases the longer price remains in such a contracted range.

The Bollinger Bandwidth was at its lowest over the past six months; rules well below the 6-month or a 180-day Moving Average. Throughout this squeeze playing out, the On Balance Volume (OBV) has been in a rising trajectory. Also, a small bullish ascending triangle is observed as well.

The prices appear to be breaking out from the squeeze. If the present technical setup resolves in the intended direction, the stock may test the 218-224 levels over the coming days. This reading will lose relevance if the price slips below 184 on a closing basis.


Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA

Consulting Technical Analyst,

www.EquityResearch.asia

Milan Vaishnav
About the author: , CMT, MSTA is a capital market professional with experience spanning close to two decades. His area of expertise includes consulting in Portfolio/Funds Management and Advisory Services. Milan is the founder of ChartWizard FZE (UAE) and Gemstone Equity Research & Advisory Services. As a Consulting Technical Research Analyst and with his experience in the Indian Capital Markets of over 15 years, he has been delivering premium India-focused Independent Technical Research to the Clients. He presently contributes on a daily basis to ET Markets and The Economic Times of India. He also authors one of the India's most accurate "Daily / Weekly Market Outlook" -- A Daily / Weekly Newsletter,  currently in its 18th year of publication. Learn More