Mish's Market Minute

Finally Russell 2000 -- But Can You Confirm?

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For the past couple of weeks, the Russell 2000 (IWM) has been a major focus for traders and investors that have been cautious, given the struggle IWM has gone through in its current trading range. Now it has cleared its pivotal 50-day moving average at $221.96 and looks to confirm a bullish phase with a second close over the MA on Thursday.

Additionally, IWM has been a key indicator for bullish market sentiment, even though the price action has been choppy. If IWM confirms its phase change, each major index will be in a bullish phase. At that point, the market can gear up for new highs.

On Thursday morning, two economic reports - Jobless Claims and Durable Goods - could set the stage for the rest of the week. Durable Goods will give insight into the current U.S supply chain, which has gone through issues including shortages of semiconductors, to building supplies as the housing market made leaps and bounds with cheap mortgage rates, along with increasing demand as people spread out to new states throughout the pandemic.

Circling back, the economic reports could bring negative news based on increasing inflation and missed expectations. With that said, the market has great potential to make a strong move higher if Thursday's reports come out positive, now that IWM's restraints have been cut with its clearing of the 50-DMA.


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ETF Summary

  • S&P 500 (SPY): Resistance 422.82
  • Russell 2000 (IWM): Watching for a second close over the 50-DMA at 221.99
  • Dow (DIA): Needs to clear 345 and hold.
  • Nasdaq (QQQ): Next resistance 336.65
  • KRE (Regional Banks): 68.16 support.
  • SMH (Semiconductors): 242.39 needs to hold as new support.
  • IYT (Transportation): 267.44 support.
  • IBB (Biotechnology): 147 support. Held the 10-DMA at 149.95.
  • XRT (Retail): Filled the gap at 93.52.


Forrest Crist-Ruiz

MarketGauge.com

Assistant Director of Trading Research and Education

Mish Schneider
About the author: serves as Director of Trading Education at MarketGauge.com. For nearly 20 years, MarketGauge.com has provided financial information and education to thousands of individuals, as well as to large financial institutions and publications such as Barron’s, Fidelity, ILX Systems, Thomson Reuters and Bank of America. In 2017, MarketWatch, owned by Dow Jones, named Mish one of the top 50 financial people to follow on Twitter. In 2018, Mish was the winner of the Top Stock Pick of the year for RealVision. Learn More
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