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Trading Places with Tom Bowley

Why Looking At Germany Provides Us An S&P 500 Crystal Ball

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Thursday, August 15, 2019 There were a ton of economic reports out on Thursday, mostly positive, and that seemed to slow the onslaught of selling as our major indices finished mixed on the session. Walmart, Inc. (WMT, +6  Read More

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John Murphy's Market Message

COMMODITY DECLINE SHOWS DEFLATIONARY TREND -- PREVIOUS BOND YIELD INVERSIONS SAW RISING COMMODITIES -- THIS TIME IS DIFFERENT

by John Murphy

DEFLATIONARY COMMODITY TREND My earlier message today showed that bond yields and stocks have been trending in the same direction for most of the last two decades  Read More

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John Murphy's Market Message

BOND YIELDS AND STOCKS TRENDED IN OPPOSITE DIRECTIONS PRIOR TO 2000 -- BUT THEY'VE BEEN TRENDING IN THE SAME DIRECTION SINCE THEN ... THE EMERGENCE OF DEFLATION AROUND THE TURN OF THE CENTURY CHANGED THE BOND-STOCK RELATIONSHIP

by John Murphy

BOND YIELDS AND STOCKS BEFORE 2000A lot of attention is being given to what falling bond yields mean for the U.S. economy and stock market  Read More

Top Advisors Corner

Tom McClellan: Equity Put/Call Volume Ratio’s 21-Day MA

by Tom McClellan

The stock market selloff since the last new all-time high on July 26 has brought the bears out, and they have been trading a lot of put options. Some trade those as an outright bearish bet, and some as a hedge on portfolio risk  Read More

Art's Charts

State of the Stock Market - Index and Sector Breadth Models Take Hits

by Arthur Hill

Watch for Rising Correlation The overall state of the stock market is the most important factor to consider when trading or investing in stocks. Broad market movements, by definition, affect most stocks  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

Futures Rally As Wall Street Tries To Show A Little "Sole"

by Tom Bowley

Special Event I am hosting a HUGE event on Monday, August 19th at 4:30pm EST as I release my Top 10 Stocks for my Model, Aggressive and Income portfolios  Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

Financials Are Breaking (more) Support While Rotating Into the Lagging Quadrant On The RRG

by Julius de Kempenaer

On the Relative Rotation Graph for US sectors, the tail on XLF, the Financials sector, caught my eye this morning  Read More

DecisionPoint

DP Mid-Week: More Like a Dead Mouse Bounce - IT Neutral Signals

by Erin Swenlin

The market has been flinging us around a lot this past week. I had been looking for a better bounce off the 200-EMA than we got; usually we use the term "dead cat" bounce, but in this case it was so small that I call it a "dead mouse" bounce  Read More

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John Murphy's Market Message

GLOBAL STOCKS UNDER HEAVY SELLING PRESSURE -- TEN-YEAR YIELD FALLS BELOW 2-YEAR -- RETEST OF 200-DAY AVERAGES APPEARS LIKELY

by John Murphy

MORE HEAVY STOCK SELLINGGlobal stocks are under heavy selling pressure again today. Bond yields continue to drop around the world. The ten-year Treasury yield dropped below the 2-year yield for the first time since 2007 which has created a second inversion of the yield curve  Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

A Bearish Continuation Pattern Takes Shape in IWM

by Arthur Hill

The Russell 2000 iShares (IWM) has been underperforming for some time now and remains the weakest of the major index ETFs. The chart below shows IWM forming a lower high from May to July and a lower low from March to May  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

Tuesday Was Nothing More Than A Bounce In A Market Downtrend

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Tuesday, August 13, 2019 I received an email the other day after I discussed the rising volatility ($VIX) and likely move lower and it stated "Tom, I thought you were bullish. Why the bearish view now?"  Read More

Muscular Investing

Vanguard Finds a Few Equity Managers Who Soar, But There's a Catch

by Brian Livingston

In a study, the Vanguard Group discovered a tiny minority of mutual-fund money managers who outperformed their benchmarks over a recent 15-year period. Unfortunately for investors, following one of those managers would have meant an agonizing wait. Figure 1  Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

19 Banks Losing Investor Support

by Greg Schnell

On yet another day where a tweet sends the market across a 600-point range in seconds, figuring out the true compass direction is difficult  Read More

Wyckoff Power Charting

Stock Market Time

by Bruce Fraser

Recently the stock market indexes entered a period of extreme volatility. Seemingly random events sent the indexes into rapid declines. These unexpected events blindsided many traders and investors  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

Starting To Shape Up Like An ABC Correction

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Monday, August 12, 2019 The flight to safety was clear on Monday. The 10 year treasury yield ($TNX) tumbled once again, falling 9 basis points to 1.63%, inching closer and closer to the historic TNX lows that were set in 2012 and 2016  Read More

Muscular Investing

The Best Strategies Lag the S&P 500 for 5+ Years

by Brian Livingston

As investors, we constantly hear, “Beat the market! Beat the market!” But trying to beat the market every month or year is not the way to win the race. • The most successful investment strategies actually TRAIL the S&P 500 for five years or longer. Figure 1  Read More

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Martin Pring's Market Roundup

Thinking the Unthinkable - Bonds are Peaking

by Martin Pring

Long-Term Bond Oscillators Almost Fully Stretched Key Reversal Bars and Other Evidence Suggests Bonds are Exhausted on the Upside The Trend is Your Friend…. Until It Isn’t About a month ago, I wrote an article entitled “Bond Yields May Not Be Headed Lower After All”  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

Energy Failing To Show Absolute Or Relative Strength....With One Exception

by Tom Bowley

Special Note If you didn't have a chance to read my blog post from Saturday, "I'm Returning To My Roots At EarningsBeats.com", be sure to check it out. I'll be explaining a lot more about my decision and discussing my three portfolios in a webinar this afternoon at 4:30pm EST  Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

This Biotech Kept its Head while Others Lost Theirs

by Arthur Hill

If you can keep your head when all about you are losing theirs .Rudyard Kipling The line above comes from the Poem, "If" by Rudyard Kipling. We can rephrase this when looking at stocks over the last few weeks  Read More

The Canadian Technician

Bears Start Digging In

by Greg Schnell

When bears start browsing nearby, there are multiple reasons to be concerned. As I mentioned in my ChartWatchers article, 3 Serious Signals Should Send Shock Waves, there are a lot of charts pointing to caution  Read More

Analyzing India

Week Ahead: Range-Bound Move Expected In The Truncated Week; These Sectors May Relatively Outperform

by Milan Vaishnav

After bouncing off its 100-Week MA in the previous week, the markets attempted to take a breather and stabilize during the past week  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

I'm Returning To My Roots At EarningsBeats.com!

by Tom Bowley

Wow, it's been a great ride here at StockCharts.com! The ride's not completely over, but I'm making a big change (and with mixed emotions) as I leave my role as Sr. Technical Analyst at StockCharts.com, effective September 15, 2019, and return to EarningsBeats  Read More

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John Murphy's Market Message

STOCKS END MODESTLY LOWER AFTER VOLATILE WEEK -- REITS AND UTILITIES WERE THE WEEK'S STRONGEST SECTORS -- ENERGY AND FINANCIALS THE WEAKEST -- MATERIALS ARE BEING LED HIGHER BY GOLD MINERS -- WHILE COPPER MINERS REMAIN WEAK -- COPPER/GOLD RATIO FALLING WITH TREASURY YIELD IS SIGN OF WEAKNESS

by John Murphy

STOCKS END MODESTLY LOWER AS BOND YIELDS WEAKENAfter a week of wild swings, stocks ended only modestly lower on the week. The devaluation of the Chinese yuan to the lowest level in more than a decade set the tone for a volatile week in financial markets  Read More

ChartWatchers

5 Best Industry Groups Not Named Software (And Stocks To Trade In Each)

by John Hopkins

I know it's summer, and we generally think defensively during this time of year, but there are still very strong areas with tremendous momentum that you should be considering. I'll give you my top five industry groups with a stellar individual stock performer within each group  Read More

ChartWatchers

3 Serious Signals Should Send Shock Waves

by Greg Schnell

The world is full of charts. Rick Santelli used the expression "Every ship at the bottom of the ocean also had a chart room." There's an important caveat, there, however: Were the navigators looking at the charts? Stock charts only tell you something if you want to hear it  Read More

The Traders Journal

Achieve Clarity In A Nuanced Stock Market By Maximizing Relative Strength In Three Investing Arenas

by Gatis Roze

The stock market is indeed a nuanced creature. With that in mind, I'd like to show you how to use Relative Strength to understand what this creature is actually doing  Read More

ChartWatchers

DP WEEKLY WRAP: Important New Look at an Old Indicator

by Carl Swenlin

One thing that we technical analysts like to spot at price tops is an indicator flashing a negative divergence, which is an indicator that is trending downward while price continues to trend upward  Read More

The MEM Edge

The Risk Is Real – 3 Stock Candidates That Can Offer Solace In A Chaotic Market

by Mary Ellen McGonagle

It was a wild week on Wall Street as the markets continued to gyrate in response to the latest trade related headlines. Those who went on vacation for the week may have been served best as a market that was down as much as 3.8% at one point, closed with a loss of ½ percent  Read More

ChartWatchers

Taking the Pulse of SPDR Sectors - Defensive Sectors Have a Healthy Heartbeat

by Erin Swenlin

John Murphy joined us on MarketWatchers LIVE on Thursday (8/8/19) and showed us some very interesting charts on the Sector SPDRs. The deterioration of nearly all of them prompted me to look at them using the Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) in CandleGlance  Read More

ChartWatchers

Finding Sectors and Stocks that Held Up During the Onslaught

by Arthur Hill

The S&P 500 hit a new high in late July and then got pummeled in early August with a sharp decline that broke the 50-day EMA. Moving averages like this can serve benchmark levels that chartists can use to compare performance  Read More

ChartWatchers

Transports Continue to Lag Behind the Dow Industrials

by John Murphy

Editor's Note: This article was originally published in John Murphy's Market Message on Friday, August 9th at 12:27pm ET  Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

Where Is The Hiding Spot?

by Greg Schnell

After such a sudden swing down, who would be surprised if we whipped sideways for a bit? With the 1000-point move down and back up on the $INDU over the past few days, would anyone be shocked that the next direction is difficult? We have lots of reasons to be concerned  Read More

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John Murphy's Market Message

TRANSPORTS CONTINUE TO LAG BEHIND THE DOW INDUSTRIALS WHICH IS A DOW THEORY WARNING -- THE FACT THAT UTILITIES ARE THE STRONGEST OF THE THREE DOW AVERAGES MAY BE ANOTHER WARNING

by John Murphy

TRADITIONAL DOW THEORY DIVERGENCEI was asked during an interview on Stockcharts TV yesterday whether I was concerned about the Dow Theory divergence between the Dow Industrials and the Dow Transports. I responded that I was  Read More

Art's Charts

The State of the Stock Market (with video) - A Pick up in Volatility

by Arthur Hill

Volatility reared its ugly head this week with the S&P 500 falling around 6% in six days and then rebounding with a sharp three-day bounce. This is the biggest decline since the May-June correction, and the sharpest decline since early December  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

It's Make Or Break Time For Telecommunications Equipment Stocks

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Thursday, August 8, 2019 Thursday was a trend day for U.S. stocks, one in which the action was positive from start to finish. It's generally viewed bullishly and as a sign of accumulation  Read More

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John Murphy's Market Message

STOCKS BUILD ON YESTERDAY'S UPSIDE INTRA-DAY REVERSAL -- THE DOW CONTINUES REBOUND OFF 200-DAY AVERAGE -- SO DO INDUSTRIALS AND FINANCIALS -- BANKS BOUNCE OFF SUPPORT -- SO DO SMALL CAPS AND TRANSPORTS -- VIX FALLS BACK BELOW 20 LEVEL -- SEASONAL WEAKNESS MAY LEAD TO CHOPPY TRADING FOR REST OF SUMMER

by John Murphy

STOCK INDEXES CONTINUE REBOUNDYesterday's impressive intra-day rebound in stocks is continuing into today's trading. Chart 1 shows the Dow Industrials surviving a test of its 200-day moving average yesterday; and building on that today. That's an encouraging sign  Read More

DecisionPoint

DP Mid-Week Alert: Possible Silver Lining on the Short-Term Horizon

by Erin Swenlin

It's been a difficult week for the markets since the last publication of the Mid-Week Alert and the knife is falling fast. However, I'm putting my hands out there right now to catch it based on signs of life on our short-term indicators  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

This Is How To Pick Relative Strength Stocks To Improve Your Performance

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Wednesday, August 7, 2019 It appeared as though we were heading for another big down day as our major indices opened down 2% or thereabouts. There was a huge rush into treasuries with the 10 year treasury yield ($TNX) dropping to an almost unfathomable 1  Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

GE is Doing It Again!

by Julius de Kempenaer

A good way for you to check what has been driving a particular market is to go to the "Market Movers" widget on your dashboard and select the universe that you are interested in. To the right, I have printed the table showing the top 10 most active stocks in the S&P 500  Read More

Muscular Investing

Asset Rotation Protects You Against Losses, Easily and Simply

by Brian Livingston

During periods of market shocks, your money should be in something other than equities. But exactly what, without using your emotions or market timing? • With 21st-century tools, we can now use low-cost index funds to make a safe port in any storm. Figure 1  Read More