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John Murphy's Market Message

RISING BOND YIELDS ARE WEIGHING ON GOLD

by John Murphy

GOLD SPDR CONTINUES TO WEAKENWith all the talk about rising inflation and rising commodity prices, it may seem strange to see the gold market still in a downtrend. But it is. The daily bars in Chart 1 shows the Gold SPDR (GLD) falling to the lowest level since last June  Read More

RRG Charts

Playing Consumer Discretionary Through PSCD

by Julius de Kempenaer

In my article for last weekend's ChartWatchers newsletter, I wrote about a set of ETFs representing small-cap sectors and how they can be used in a Relative Rotation Graph. I also talk about it in this week's episode of Sector Spotlight  Read More

Mish's Market Minute

NASDAQ's 50-Day Moving Average Continues to Provide Price Guidance

by Mish Schneider

Last Friday, the market ended on a cliffhanger. The Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) closed under its 50-day moving average, while the S&P 500 (SPY) and Dow Jones (DIA) teetered on the edge of their 50-DMAs  Read More

DecisionPoint

DP TV: No Inflation?! Know These Rules!

by Carl Swenlin, Erin Swenlin

In this episode of DecisionPoint, Carl and Erin discuss not only the current market conditions and indicators, but share "Farrell's Ten Rules" for all investors to know and remember! Carl gives us the current read on Bitcoin and GME, while Erin looks at the Dollar, Gold, Gold Min  Read More

Top Advisors Corner

At the Edge of Chaos: The Fed is in a Cage Match with the Bond Market - And There is No Escape

by Joe Duarte

The Federal Reserve is clenched in a cage match with the bond market from which there is no escape for them or for the markets. Point in fact were the technical sell signals in the major indices and the increasing weakness in the market's breadth, as I detail below  Read More

Art's Charts

Secondary Downtrends in Primary Uptrends Create Opportunities

by Arthur Hill

With a pullback led by QQQ and the high flyers, several ETFs have become short-term oversold in a longer term uptrend. In Dow Theory terms, the primary trend for these ETFs is up and the secondary trend is down  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

Divergences Don't End The Long-Term Journey - Part 1 of 2

by Tom Bowley

When you look into a technician's "tool kit", you'll likely find a divergence analysis  Read More

Analyzing India

Week Ahead: Technical Pullbacks Likely, But Upsides in NIFTY to Stay Capped; RRG Chart Shows This Sector Ending Relative Underperformance

by Milan Vaishnav

In the previous weekly note, we had expected the markets to show limited upsides and had also noted some possibility of the NIFTY slipping into some consolidation  Read More

ChartWatchers

One Key Signal That It's Time to Sell Your Stock

by Mary Ellen McGonagle

Every bull market cycle has its set of big, winning stocks – companies with strong fundamentals and increasing mutual fund sponsorship which helps propel these select stocks higher for huge gains  Read More

ChartWatchers

Nasdaq Rotates Toward Bearish Phase

by David Keller

I recently tweeted the three steps for the S&P to signal a rotation from bullish phase to bearish phase, especially on the tactical time frame  Read More

ChartWatchers

This Time-Tested Theory is Screaming To Buy NOW

by Tom Bowley

I know it was a rough week last week; I only need to take one look at my own portfolio to figure that out. But the stock market doesn't go up in a straight line. There will ALWAYS be pullbacks. But be careful which "stories" you listen to  Read More

Mish's Market Minute

Using the Economic Modern Family to Plan Ahead

by Mish Schneider

With all but one member of the Economic Modern Family in a bullish phase, should we be worried? Or does Monday hold the next piece of pivotal price action? Before we attempt to answer this question, we should first know where each member stands and if anyone sits in a risky place  Read More

The MEM Edge

Where's Support in this Tough Market?

by Mary Ellen McGonagle

In this episode of StockCharts TV's The MEM Edge, Mary Ellen reviews areas of the market and stocks that will help buffer you from the selloff in Growth stocks. She also covers eye-opening base breakouts in a tough market environment  Read More

ChartWatchers

When the Tails are Diverging, Opportunities Arise

by Julius de Kempenaer

Last week, Friday 2/19, Tom Bowley invited me to be his guest in a webinar he did with EarningsBeats.com. Of course, I talked about RRG in general and we applied it to international markets, crypto-currencies and US sectors. All good fun  Read More

Top Advisors Corner

Yield Curve Steepening, and Small Caps

by Tom McClellan

Liquidity is bullish for the stock market. It is even more bullish for small-cap stocks and other types of issues which are more sensitive to liquidity. That is why indicators like the A-D Line are so useful for gauging the health of the liquidity pool  Read More

DecisionPoint

Chartwise Women: Shortcuts to Spot Top Performers

by Erin Swenlin, Mary Ellen McGonagle

In this week's edition of Chartwise Women, Erin and Mary Ellen show how you can find the best performers in the market using Relative Strength and the StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR)  Read More

The Canadian Technician

Large Cap Tech Drifts Lower

by Greg Schnell

Based on how strong the stock market has been, you'd think large-cap tech was still controlling the pace of play. It seems almost remarkable that Apple (AAPL), with its massive buyback program, can be approaching the 200-DMA  Read More

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John Murphy's Market Message

SPIKE IN BOND YIELDS PUSHES STOCKS LOWER

by John Murphy

10-YEAR YIELD REACHES 1.50% The 10-Year Treasury yield is spiking above 1.50% today for the first time in a year. The size and speed of the yield advance is putting downside pressure on stocks, and technology stocks in particular  Read More

Don't Ignore This Chart!

Value Small Caps Are Breaking to New Highs

by Julius de Kempenaer

One of the predefined RRGs allows you to bring up a universe of growth, value and size indexes, and this can help you to spot how the various parts of the market are positioned against each other and how they are rotating  Read More

Mish's Market Minute

The Importance of the 50-Day Moving Average

by Mish Schneider

On Tuesday, we talked about a reversal chat pattern in the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) that was created from the price clearing over the 50-day moving average. Although today began with price under the 50-DMA, QQQs turned around, closing over Tuesdays high  Read More

Members Only

John Murphy's Market Message

ROTATION FROM GROWTH TO VALUE CONTINUES AS TREASURY YIELDS HIT ANOTHER HIGH FOR THE YEAR

by John Murphy

ROTATION FROM GROWTH TO VALUE One of the side-effects of rising bond yields has been a rotation out of technology-dominated growth shares into more cyclical value shares  Read More

Top Advisors Corner

The Ord Oracle February 23, 2021

by Tim Ord

SPX Monitoring Purposes: Long SPX on 2/22/21 at 3876.50 Monitoring Purposes GOLD: Long GDX on 10/9/20 at 40.78 Long Term SPX Monitor Purposes: Sold long SPX on 1/15/21 at 3768.25= gain 10.80%; Long SPX on 10/26/20 at 3400.97 Yesterday, we said "Last Thursday the TRIN closed at 1  Read More

RRG Charts

Sector Spotlight: Seasonal Surprise for XLRE

by Julius de Kempenaer

In this edition of StockCharts TV's Sector Spotlight, since it's the last Tuesday of the month, I dive into the seasonal outlook for the month(s) ahead. Communication Services seems on track with its current rotation on the Relative Rotation Graph  Read More

Mish's Market Minute

QQQ Just Made a Rare Chart Pattern

by Mish Schneider

On Tuesday, the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) broke the 50-day moving average before the end-of-day rally brought it back over. This created a reversal pattern we like to call an expansion day  Read More

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Martin Pring's Market Roundup

Five Confidence Relationships Hit Multi-Year Resistance; Breakout Would Signal Much Higher Stock Prices

by Martin Pring

Many confidence relationships I follow have been confined to multi-year trading ranges, as investors have consistently swung between optimism and fear. The latest data show that many have rallied sharply and reached the upper region of this rangebound activity  Read More

RRG Charts

Communication Services on Seasonal Track

by Julius de Kempenaer

Looking at the 3-D seasonality chart above, most of the sectors have a 50/50 history of outperforming SPY in the coming month of March. Both Communication Services and Consumer Discretionary are showing an upcoming string of months that are historically strong for them  Read More

DecisionPoint

DP TV: Hot Sectors and Industry Groups

by Carl Swenlin, Erin Swenlin

In this episode of DecisionPoint, Carl and Erin present their unique analysis of the market. Carl concentrates on the SPY and "The Big Four" - Dollar, Gold, Crude Oil and Bonds  Read More

Mish's Market Minute

The Soft Commodities Make a Big Move

by Mish Schneider

The pandemic has brought a multitude of supply chain disruptions reaching not only into the tech space, but also into the agricultural space. The Invesco Agricultural Fund (DBA) recently cleared major resistance at 16  Read More

Top Advisors Corner

At the Edge of Chaos: Rising Bond Yields and the Market's Breadth Remain in Lockstep

by Joe Duarte

The battle between bond traders and the Federal Reserve is starting to heat up as bond yields wrestle with crucial overhead resistance and the broad market continues in lockstep with bond yields  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

It's DRAFT Day! Another Quarter Is In The Books

by Tom Bowley

This is an exciting day for EarningsBeats.com and its members. It's the day when we select the 10 equal-weighted stocks for each of our 4 portfolios - Model, Aggressive, Income, and Strong AD  Read More

Top Advisors Corner

Simple vs. Complex Oscillator Structures

by Tom McClellan

A year ago, I wrote here about how the nature of structures in the McClellan A-D Oscillator carries important information about what lies ahead. A "complex" structure is one that features chopping up and down without a crossing of the zero line  Read More

ChartWatchers

A Major Theme That Will Carry Equities Higher

by Tom Bowley

I believe the bull market vs. bear market debate has ended. We've been through a trade war, 100-year pandemic, an economic shutdown, a very divisive political battle, mountains of debt, etc., and where do we stand? At an all-time high  Read More

The MEM Edge

Big Market Shift Underway?

by Mary Ellen McGonagle

In this episode of StockCharts TV's The MEM Edge, Mary Ellen shares new groups that are coming into favor while recently leading areas come under pressure  Read More

Mish's Market Minute

Two Growing Sectors with Huge Potential

by Mish Schneider

Despite worry of a pending market correction, talks of stimulus and an infrastructure package paired with a supportive Federal Reserve helped boost market morale this week  Read More

ChartWatchers

Want a Semiconductor? Try This One Instead of That One

by Erin Swenlin

Semiconductors are outperforming the market, but not all Semiconductors are enjoying the strong rally that's been ongoing since September. Some of the more popular names have underperformed within their industry group and against the SPX  Read More

ChartWatchers

A Medium-term Breadth Indicator Waves the Caution Flag

by Arthur Hill

The Nasdaq 100 has been on a tear the last few months with a move to new highs, but a medium-term breadth indicator is not keeping pace here in February  Read More

Members Only

John Murphy's Market Message

TRANSPORTS HIT NEW HIGHS

by John Murphy

DOW TRANSPORTS HIT NEW RECORDWhile looking through today's sector charts, I was struck by the differing performance between transportation stocks and utilities. And that difference should carry good news for stocks in general  Read More

ChartWatchers

The Nightmare of Capital Efficiency

by Greg Schnell

This week, the liquid energy markets exhibited some serious stress. Oil surged in both $WTIC (North America benchmark) and $BRENT, an international benchmark to levels not expected even one or two months ago. Natural Gas also soared in some regions  Read More

Trading Places with Tom Bowley

Rotation To Small Caps Continues

by Tom Bowley

We've seen a hiccup the past few days, but overall money has rotated strongly into small caps. There are a couple ways to visualize this rotation. I tend to use price relative charts so that I can view the relative momentum on a historical basis  Read More

The MEM Edge

Chartwise Women: Exciting Recovery Stock Momentum

by Erin Swenlin, Mary Ellen McGonagle

In this week's edition of Chartwise Women, Mary Ellen and Erin share their wishlist plans for the eventual post-pandemic period and the stocks that tie in with their dream trips! They also review their favorite Oil stocks, as well as the recently strong rally in Energy  Read More