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What is the Bullish Percent Indicator?

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Bullish percent is a breadth indicator that shows the percentage of stocks in a given index with Point&Figure buy signals. If 60 of the 100 stocks in the Nasdaq 100 are on Point&Figure buy signals, then the bullish percent would be 60% (60/100 = .60 or 60%). Readings above 50% show general strength, while readings below 50% show general weakness. Because bullish percent oscillates above and below the 50% line, traders can also look for overbought/oversold conditions as well as positive/negative divergences.

090821mail-ndxbull
Click on this chart to see more details.

The chart below shows Nasdaq 100 Bullish% ($BPNDX) over the last 18 months. Bullish% was above 50% in the yellow areas and below 50% otherwise. As with all indicators, the signals are not perfect and there are whipsaws. However, there is clearly a correlation between NDX strength and bullish%. The most recent cross above 50% occurred in early March (green arrow) and has been in effect for four months. There was also a good bearish signal in mid August (red arrow). If fact, these two signals more than made up for the other whipsaws.

A large positive divergence foreshadowed the March low. Bullish% bottomed in October and formed higher lows in November and again in March. Even though the Nasdaq 100 tested its November low in March, the bullish% indicator held well above its November low as 25% of stocks remained on Point&Figure buy signals.

Stockcharts.com provides the Bullish Percent Indicator for the following indices:

$BPNYA           NYSE
$BPCOMPQ      Nasdaq
$BPOEX            S&P 100
$BPNDX            Nasdaq 100
$BPSPX            S&P 500
$BPINDU           Dow 30
$BPDISC           Consumer Discretionary
$BPSTAP          Consumer Staples
$BPENER         Energy
$BPFINA           Finance
$BPHEAL          Healthcare
$BPINFO           Info Tech
$BPINDY           Industrial
$BPMATE         Materials
$BPTELE          Telecom
$BPUTIL            Utilities

Arthur Hill
About the author: , CMT, is a Senior Technical Analyst at StockCharts.com. He has written articles for numerous financial publications including Barrons and Stocks & Commodities magazine. Focusing predominantly on US equities and ETFs, his systematic approach of identifying trend, finding signals within the trend, and setting key price levels has made him an esteemed technician. In addition to his CMT designation, Arthur holds an MBA from the Cass Business School at City University in London. Learn More
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