Art's Charts

January 2011

Art's Charts

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Short-term Evidence Turns Bearish for Stocks

by Arthur Hill

After grinding higher for several weeks to keep the uptrend in place, stocks turned sharply lower on Friday and the bulk of the short-term evidence is now bearish... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Cracks Appearing in the Bullish Case

by Arthur Hill

The indicator summary remains positive, but cracks in the bullish case are starting to appear. It all started with relative weakness in small-caps and the consumer discretionary sector, two important areas of the market... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY Hits Another New 52-week High

by Arthur Hill

There is no change in the short-term trend or key indicators. Price-wise, the SPY trend is up as the ETF holds its rising price channel. Key support on the 60-minute chart remains at 128... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Clint Eastwood Gives Advice to the Bears

by Arthur Hill

It is certainly tempting to pick a top and turn bearish now, but such thoughts bring me back to a quote from Dirty Harry... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts of Interest: AMGN,BOOM, FLO,GME,LEAP,LOGI,WDC

by Arthur Hill

Don't forget that it is earnings season! AMGN falls after shooting star. BOOM forms bull flag. GMS hits resistance at gap. Plus FLO, LEAP, LOGI and WDC. This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY Stalls as Fed Announcement Looms

by Arthur Hill

Stocks have traded flat the last few days, but the fireworks could start soon. The State of the Union address is out of the way with no major surprises and the Fed makes its policy statement today... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts of Interest: ARO, AZO, LLY, PFCB

by Arthur Hill

It's earnings season. Stocks reporting earnings are prone to higher volatility and risk. ARO backs off resistance, AZO forms tight consolidation. LLY firms on big volume. PFCM forms bear flag. This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Stocks Remain Buoyant as Sentiment Indicators Warn

by Arthur Hill

Stocks were broadly higher on Monday as the Dow Industrials zoomed to a new 52-week high. The Russell 2000, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 were also up on the day, but did not record new 52-week highs. The Dow is leading. The rest are lagging... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY Heads into Big News Week with Breadth at a Crossroads

by Arthur Hill

It is a pretty big week news-wise. First, earnings season is in full swing with over 350 reports slated for this week (and next). Second, the Fed starts its two day meeting on Tuesday with its policy statement expected at 2:15PM on Wednesday... Read More 

Art's Charts

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IWM Tests Support as it Leads Market Lower

by Arthur Hill

The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) led the major index ETFs lower this week with a decline to its January lows. The ETF is testing support from these lows and showing relative weakness. Notice the Price Relative in the lower window... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Indicator Summary Remains Positive After Downgrades

by Arthur Hill

For the first time in many weeks, two indicator groups were downgraded in the indicator summary. Relative weakness in the Technology ETF (XLK) and Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) caused me to downgrade offensive sector performance from bullish to neutral... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY Recovers after Channel Break as Breadth Weakens

by Arthur Hill

On the daily chart, SPY dipped below the lower trendline of the rising channel, but bounced to close back above the trendline. This channel covers the short-term uptrend. The medium-term uptrend is defined by bigger events, namely the break above the November high... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY Tests Channel Trendline as RSI Hits Support Zone

by Arthur Hill

Overall, SPY continues to move higher within a tight rising price channel. Obviously, this channel cannot hold forever. Wednesday's decline (-.98%) was the sharpest 1-day loss since late November, the 26th to be exact... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts of Interest: AZO,DRI,ECL, KMX,KO,LLY,MHK,PNRA,RHT

by Arthur Hill

ECL bucks the trend with wedge breakout. KO forms bearish wedge. PNRA forms bearish pennant. Plus AZO, DRI, KMX, LLY, MHK and RHT. This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Euro breaks resistance as Gold forms Bull Wedge

by Arthur Hill

The intermarket arena continues to heat up as the Euro Currency Trust (FXE) breaks resistance and the Gold SPDR (GLD) forms a bull wedge... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Bond Yields Tests Support as Euro Challenges Resistance

by Arthur Hill

There is no change in the stock market analysis. Both the medium-term (daily chart) and short-term (60-minute chart) trends are up with no signs of selling pressure... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts of Interest: AVP, ERTS, GERN, HRB, SUSS, YHOO

by Arthur Hill

AVP fails to hold breakout. GERN forms small ascending triangle. YHOO extends consolidation. Plus ERTS, HRB, SUSS. This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Indicator Summary Remains Firmly Positive

by Arthur Hill

The stock market appears to be on bullish auto-pilot. In fact, it seems that a bit of complacency may be setting in... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY Continues to Grind Higher

by Arthur Hill

Unsurprisingly, there is not change in the analysis of the daily or 60-minute charts. This December-January advance is looking awfully familiar. Looking back, we can see that SPY surged in early September, CCI became overbought and the ETF continued higher the next seven weeks... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY Moves into Upper Half of Rising Channel

by Arthur Hill

This December-January advance is looking awfully familiar. Looking back, we can see that SPY surged in early September, CCI became overbought and the ETF continued higher the next seven weeks... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts of Interest: AMGN, BAX, ERTS, GILD, JWN, K

by Arthur Hill

AMGN forms bull flag. BAX surges off support with good volume. ERTS firms within small wedge. Plus GILD, JWN, K. This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Bonds Hit Resistance as Euro and Gold Bounce

by Arthur Hill

There is no change in the SPY trends so I will add coverage of the 10-year Treasury Yield ($TNX), Euro Currency Trust (FXE) and Gold SPDR (GLD) today. Interest rates remain in an uptrend overall and the 10-year Treasury Yield has been consolidating since mid December... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY Holds Short-term Support to Maintain Uptrend

by Arthur Hill

There is no change in the analysis for the medium-term (daily chart) or short-term (60-minute chart). SPY remains in a medium-term uptrend as the ETF recorded a new 52-week high last week. SPY started the week strong with an open above 126, but then stalled the rest of the week... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts of Interest: CHUX, GERN, ISRG, MMM, NEM, THO

by Arthur Hill

ISRG challenges resistance. MMM bounces with long white candle. NEM hits channel support. Plus CHUX, GERN, NEM, THO This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Short-term Breadth Remains Bullish as SPY Tests Support

by Arthur Hill

Short-term breadth indicators turned bullish in early December and remain bullish. These are the 10-day SMA for Net Advances and Net Advancing Volume for both the Nasdaq and NYSE. There are two breadth indicators for each major exchange... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Indicator Summary Remains Firmly Positive

by Arthur Hill

The stock market may be overbought and sentiment may seem excessively bullish, but there is simply no sign of weakness on the price charts or with the indicators. The AD Lines and AD Volume Lines both moved to new reaction highs this year... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY Holds Uptrend as Employment Report Looms

by Arthur Hill

There is no change in the short-term or medium-term analysis. Medium-term, the daily chart shows SPY in a clear uptrend with a new 52-week high this week. The ETF is up some 7.6% since December and up 22% since August. These big gains make the ETF overbought by most yardsticks... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY Continues to Grind Higher

by Arthur Hill

There is no change in the short-term or medium-term analysis. Medium-term, the daily chart shows SPY in a clear uptrend with a new 52-week high this week. The ETF is up some 7.6% since December and up 22% since August. These big gains make the ETF overbought by most yardsticks... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts of Interest: DELL, FDX, GILD, HRB, MAS, MRK, NE, URBN, YHOO

by Arthur Hill

GILD gaps above trendline. HRB fills gap after selling climax. URBN hits support with falling wedge. Plus DELL,FDX,MAS,MRK,NE,YHOO This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

Art's Charts

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RSI holds Short-Term Support Zone

by Arthur Hill

There is not much change in the short-term or medium-term analysis. Medium-term, the daily chart shows SPY in a clear uptrend with a new 52-week high this week. The ETF is up some 7.6% since December and up 22% since August... Read More 

Art's Charts

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A New Year and a New High for SPY

by Arthur Hill

The bulls started January just like December as stocks surged on the open and remained at high levels throughout the day. The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) advanced just over 1% and recorded yet another 52-week high. SPY is now up 7.6% since the beginning of December... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts of Interest: ARO, AVP, FXE, GCI, INTC, ISRG, $TNX, VRTX

by Arthur Hill

ARO breaks support. AVP surges above resistance. VRTX forms bullish pennant. Plus FXE,GCI,INTC,ISRG,$TNX. This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Narrow Range Days, But Little Selling Pressure

by Arthur Hill

Even though sentiment is excessively bullish and stocks are ripe for a pullback, the major index ETFs simply show no signs of selling pressure and remain strong overall. The CBOE Total Put/Call Ratio ($CPC) dipped below ... Read More