MailBag

October 2011

MailBag

Identifying Leaders and Laggards with the Bullish Percent Indices

by Arthur Hill

The Bullish Percent Indices (BPIs) measure the percentage of stocks in an index that are on a P&F buy signal. This means the stock is on a double top breakout signal, which means the most recent X-Column exceeded the prior X-Column. At its most basic, the Bullish Percent Index favors the bulls when above 50% and the bears when below 50%. The cup is more than half full above 50%, but more than half empty below 50%. Click here for a live market summary. StockCharts.com offers Bullish Percent Indices for a number of US indices, the 10 S&P sectors and a number of European indices Read More 

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How Can I Measure Sector Rotations?

by Arthur Hill

Sector rotation within the S&P 500 can be measured by using the Sector PerfChart. The default version of this chart shows the performance of the nine sector SPDRs relative to the S&P 500. If the S&P 500 is up 2% and the sector is up 4%, then relative performance would be +2%. This is because the sector is up more than the S&P 500 and outperforming. If the S&P 500 is down 4% and the sector is down 2%, relative performance would also be +2%. This is because the sector is down less than the S&P 500 and holding up better. Simply subtract the absolute gain/loss in the Read More 

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How can I measure the distance between the Bollinger Bands?

by Arthur Hill

The short answer is with the Bollinger Band Width indicator in SharpCharts. Now for the long answer. Created by John Bollinger, Bollinger Bands are volatility bands with a moving average in the middle. The default setting is 20-periods and 2 standard deviations. This means the moving average, middle line, is a 20-period simple moving average. The upper and lower bands are then set 2 standard deviations from this moving average. 20-periods is also used for the standard deviation, which is a measure of volatility. By using the standard deviation to set Band Width, Bollinger Bands are Read More 

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Filtering Out the Stock Market Volatility

by Arthur Hill

The 3 to 5 day swings in the stock market have been quite wild since early August. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) boasts 11 swings of 5% or more since the second week of August. That is 11 swings in eight weeks or one swing every 4 days. It is enough to make a trader seasick. Chartists with a longer focus can filter out these moves by using moving averages or even a long-term Stochastic Oscillator. The first chart shows IWM trading within a high level range early in the year and a low level range the last two months. The one big decline in between sets the long-term tone. The current trading Read More