Art's Charts

July 2010

Art's Charts

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Indicator Summary remains negative - barely

by Arthur Hill

It all depends on where we set key resistance. If the mid July highs marked key resistance, then this indicator summary would be in bull mode. If the mid June highs mark key resistance, then a number of indicators and ETFs remain short of trend changing breakouts... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Two failed gaps at resistance

by Arthur Hill

Even though the July surge had impressive breadth and upside momentum, the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is clearly running into resistance around 112. Resistance from prior highs and key retracements is not surprising... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY forms small falling flag

by Arthur Hill

There is no change on the daily chart as SPY stalls in its resistance zone. Even though the strong July surge and wedge breakout are medium-term bullish, SPY is still on the overbought side and battling resistance... Read More 

Art's Charts

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A little selling pressure emerges

by Arthur Hill

After strong buying pressure four of the last five days, stocks took a breather on Tuesday as the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) forged a small red candlestick. SPY opened above 112 and closed below 112. After a strong open, SPY moved lower and this indicates selling pressure... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Short-term overbought and staying that way

by Arthur Hill

Even though volume has been light in July, breadth has been strong, especially on the NYSE. Breadth is picking up steam on the Nasdaq as Net New Highs hit +91 and Net Advances exceeded +1000 for the third day in a row... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY breaks falling wedge trendline

by Arthur Hill

The medium-term picture is perking up as stocks finished strong last week. SPY started the week with an indecisive candlestick last Monday. After a weak open below 106 on Tuesday, SPY finished strong with a close above 108 that very same day... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY stalls after sharp decline

by Arthur Hill

On the daily chart, the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) stalled with a small gain on the day. After Friday's sharp decline, a little indecision or a small rebound is normal. There is really no change on the daily chart... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY fails at resistance zone

by Arthur Hill

Stocks moved sharply lower with a broad decline on Friday. The major indices were down from 2.52% (Dow) to 3.82% (Russell 2000). Small-caps continue showing relative weakness. All sectors were down with finance (-4.21%), consumer discretionary (-3.50%) and industrials (-3... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Indicator Summary remains negative

by Arthur Hill

Even though last week's bounce continued this week, the indicator summary remains negative. The AD Lines and AD Volume Lines surged, but remain below their June highs (resistance). Another strong week would likely push these indicators above resistance and into bull mode... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY extends stall near resistance zone

by Arthur Hill

There is no change on the daily chart as SPY stalls just below its big resistance zone. On a closing basis, there have been three moves in excess of 6% over the last 26 days (blue arrows). First, SPY bottomed on June 7th and advanced 6.4% in nine days... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY stall near resistance zone

by Arthur Hill

There is no change on the daily chart as SPY stalls just below its big resistance zone. On a closing basis, there have been three moves in excess of 6% over the last 26 days (blue arrows). First, SPY bottomed on June 7th and advanced 6.4% in nine days... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY hits resistance zone on daily chart

by Arthur Hill

Stocks were oversold 7-8 days ago and an oversold bounce was expected. However, I must admit that I did not expect a move all the way to the 110-113 resistance zone, especially after sharpness of the prior decline... Read More 

Art's Charts

See the Market Message for today's commentary

by Arthur Hill

See the Market Message for today's commentary ( click here)... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY enters retracement zone

by Arthur Hill

There is no change on the daily chart. SPY remains in a downtrend overall and is currently trading near the middle of its seven week range (113-101). A falling wedge defines the overall downtrend with a resistance zone around 110-113 from the June highs... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Indicator Summary remains decidedly negative

by Arthur Hill

Even with this week's bounce, the indicator summary remains decidedly negative. The AD Lines and AD Volume Lines remain in clear downtrends and bullish divergences have yet to appear. NYSE Net New Highs have yet to break down, but have yet to surge higher... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY hits the 50% retracement

by Arthur Hill

On the daily chart, SPY remains in a downtrend overall and is currently trading in the middle of its seven week range. This range includes the mid June high around 113 and the early July low around 101... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Oversold bounce within a bigger downtrend

by Arthur Hill

Stocks surged yesterday with a pretty strong advance. Advances swamped declines and advancing volume far exceeded declining volume - on both the NYSE and the Nasdaq. Volume was light, but volume should be light during the summer so I am not concerned with volume at this point... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Stocks fail to hold gains and close weak

by Arthur Hill

Stocks were strangely mixed on Tuesday with the large-cap indices edging higher and the small-cap indices falling rather sharply. The S&P 500 and Dow gained around .50%, but the Russell 2000 and S&P 600 SmallCap Index lost around 1.50%... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Stocks remain oversold after steep decline

by Arthur Hill

After a steep decline the last two weeks, stocks are deeply oversold and pessimism is running rampant. A story on Bob Prechter's "take cover" forecast is the "most emailed" article in the New York Times... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Indicator Summary goes more negative

by Arthur Hill

With a sharp decline the last two weeks, all indicators are in bear mode. The indicator summary turned negative last Friday (-4) and moved to -10 this week. Oversold conditions and excessive bearish sentiment are the only positives in the stock market right now... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY forms hammer after steep decline

by Arthur Hill

After a 9 day 9.7% decline from high to low, the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) formed a hammer by closing well above its intraday low. I do not think this was the big selling climax, but it does mark an intraday reversal that could put in a short-term low... Read More 

Art's Charts

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The knife continues to fall for SPY

by Arthur Hill

Stocks attempted to hold their ground on Wednesday, but afternoon selling pressure drove the major index ETFs below Tuesday's lows. The major index ETFs were down around 1%. All sectors were lower with technology, consumer discretionary and finance leading the way down... Read More