Art's Charts

August 2019

Art's Charts

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Charting the Fab 5 for Clues on QQQ

by Arthur Hill

Today we will look at charts for the biggest stocks in the Nasdaq 100 ETF. Even though the big tech titans dominate QQQ, note that Pepsi (PEP) is the 10th largest stock and accounts for 2.3%. PEP is obviously part of the Consumer Staples sector... Read More 

Art's Charts

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State of the Stock Market - Big Sectors Hold Strong

by Arthur Hill

The broader market may not seem bullish right now, but there is clearly a bull market somewhere within stocks. In particular, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are currently within five percent of all time highs, which were hit just five weeks ago... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Ranking and Categorizing Dozens of Key ETFs into Five Chart Groups

by Arthur Hill

Today I am breaking my ETF chart list into five groups and showing these groups in order of performance, strongest to weakest. After analyzing and comparing these price charts, five clear groups emerged. First, there are ETFs with very strong uptrends that look very extended... Read More 

Art's Charts

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State of the Stock Market - Meet Mr. Split

by Arthur Hill

The performance for the S&P 500, S&P Mid-Cap 400 and S&P Small-Cap 600 over the last 3, 6, 9 and 12 months pretty much says it all. The S&P 500 is positive on all four timeframes, the S&P Small-Cap 600 is negative on all and the S&P Mid-Cap 400 is mixed. Mr... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Technology Could Hold the Key Going Forward

by Arthur Hill

As noted in a separate commentary, the State of the Stock Market is shaky. The Technology sector is holding up, but we are seeing weakness within Finance, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials and Communication Services... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Measuring Risk On/Off with Stocks, Treasuries, Junk Bonds, Low Volatility and High Beta

by Arthur Hill

Volatility is clearly on the uptick with the S&P 500 SPDR (SPY) moving more than 1% nine times since July 31st. This follows a period from early June to late July when the 1-day Rate-of-Change exceeded 1% just once, and the market moved steadily higher. Ah, the good ole days... Read More 

Art's Charts

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A Bounce, a Second Shoe or a Broadening Formation?

by Arthur Hill

Stocks rebounded on Friday with small-caps leading the way. The Russell 2000 surged 2.19%, while the S&P 500 advanced 1.44% and the Nasdaq 100 gained 1.59%. Despite these sizable rebounds, all three were down for the week and still down between 4.5% and 5... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Ranking the 11 Sector SPDRs and Weighing the Breadth Evidence

by Arthur Hill

Sector Breadth Model Takes another Hit Today I will rank and analyze the charts for the eleven sector SPDRs, but I will first cover the sector breadth table, which reflects the internal strength/weakness within each sector... Read More 

Art's Charts

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State of the Stock Market - Index and Sector Breadth Models Take Hits

by Arthur Hill

Watch for Rising Correlation ...The overall state of the stock market is the most important factor to consider when trading or investing in stocks. Broad market movements, by definition, affect most stocks... Read More 

Art's Charts

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The State of the Stock Market (with video) - A Pick up in Volatility

by Arthur Hill

Volatility reared its ugly head this week with the S&P 500 falling around 6% in six days and then rebounding with a sharp three-day bounce. This is the biggest decline since the May-June correction, and the sharpest decline since early December... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charting Tariffs, Putting the Decline into Perspective and Considering a Mean-Reversion Bounce

by Arthur Hill

Stocks were pummeled on Monday with the S&P 500 falling the most (2.98%) since December 2018. The Russell 2000 and Nasdaq 100 also fell more than 3% with widespread selling pressure... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Bearish Breadth Thrusts and Short-term Support Breaks could Signal Start of Corrective Period

by Arthur Hill

Stocks were hit with some of the strongest selling pressure since December as the S&P 500 fell 3.10% and the Nasdaq 100 fell 4.04%. These weekly declines were the largest since mid December. The Russell 2000 held up the best with a 2... Read More 

Art's Charts

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The State of the Stock Market - Short and Long Term Breadth Signals

by Arthur Hill

Today I am going to dive into breadth by looking at two indicator groups used for short-term market timing and three indicator groups for long-term market timing. Most of you are familiar with these indicators: AD Percent, Up/Down Volume%, High-Low Percent and %Above 200-day EMA... Read More