Art's Charts

December 2011

Art's Charts

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Divided Market Keeps Indicator Summary in Check

by Arthur Hill

With a couple of upgrades, the indicator summary moved from -2 to +1 this week. The total has been waffling around the zero level for a few weeks now, which reflects a divided the market... Read More 

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SPY Maintains Short-Term Uptrend as UUP Breaks Out

by Arthur Hill

Stocks continued their short-term uptrends with further strength on Tuesday and then fell sharply on Wednesday. This decline was not enough to reverse the short-term uptrend... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Market Remains Mixed as Nasdaq Shows Relative Weakness

by Arthur Hill

Even though the indicator summary remains unchanged this week, there was some strengthening under the hood this week. Notably the NYSE Net New Highs Line continues to rise and shows no signs of weakness... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY holds Breakout as Euro Bounce Helps Gold

by Arthur Hill

First, note that Art's Charts will not be published next Monday through Thursday. It is a fine time for family and Christmas. Commentary will resume on Friday, December 30th. Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays from all of us at Stockcharts.com... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY Holds the Breakout and QQQ Tests Support

by Arthur Hill

An earnings miss from Oracle hit the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) hard, but the broader market held up pretty well as the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) finished the day with a slight gain... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts of Interest: AET, ATVI, HST, MET, NYB, PBCT, PGR, T

by Arthur Hill

ATVI Forms Harami at Support. NYB Edges High on Expanding Volume. T Breaks Flag Resistance after Failed Deal. Plus AET, HST, MET, PBCT and PGR. This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY Breaks Channel Resistance as TLT Plunges

by Arthur Hill

The European Central Bank (ECB) is opening the monetary floodgates today. While they may not call it quantitative easing (QE) by name, the ECB is essentially giving money to European banks so they can stimulate the economy with increased lending. Seems I've heard this one before... Read More 

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GLD Holds it Bounce as TLT Becomes Way Overbought

by Arthur Hill

Now that everyone has officially given up on the Santa Claus rally and stocks are oversold, perhaps we will get that rally. The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) remains in a falling price channel that is defined by the Raff Regression Channel. Key resistance is set at 123... Read More 

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Charts of Interest: AMZN, AN, APOL, CCL, D, DE, FISV, MXIM

by Arthur Hill

AMZN Forms Big Hammer at Support. CCL Traces out Big Bearish Engulfing. DE Declines Six Days Straight. Plus $AN, $APOL, D, DE, FSIV, MXIM This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

Art's Charts

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No commentary - Charts Updated - Back Tuesday

by Arthur Hill

I am taking a day off of the commentary today, but the charts have been updated and posted below. Art's Charts will return in full on Tuesday... Read More 

Art's Charts

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AD Volume Lines Weigh on Indicator Summary

by Arthur Hill

The market is about as mixed up as it can be right now. With a few downgrades this week, the indicator summary flipped back to negative territory (-2). There are still a few neutral readings out there that could go either way with a significant move... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Stocks, Gold and the Euro Firm after Becoming Oversold

by Arthur Hill

Stocks got a bounce as the Euro finally firmed for a day. The seasonal patterns for the stock market are still bullish this time of year. These include yearend window dressing, the Santa Claus rally, historic returns in December, the January effect and the six-month cycle... Read More 

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Oil Plunges as Risk-off Trade Remains in Force

by Arthur Hill

The risk-off trade remained in force on Wednesday with oil joining the sell-off in stocks, the Euro and gold. US Treasuries and the Dollar benefitted from a flight to safety. Concerns over Europe continue to dominate the headlines as Italian 10-year yields moved to 6.69%... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts of Interest: AEE, AMGN, CPN, CVX, GE, GGP

by Arthur Hill

AEE Forms Pennant after Sharp Decline. CVX Breaks Support on High Volume. GGP Stalls with Bull Flag. Plus AMGN, CPN, GE This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Healthcare SPDR Forms Bull Flag

by Arthur Hill

After a big surge in late November, the Healthcare SPDR (XLV) pulled back with the rest of the market and formed a falling flag the last few weeks. This is a bullish continuation pattern and a break above 34 would reverse the three week slide... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY Remains within Falling Channel as UUP Surges

by Arthur Hill

The risk-off trade took hold in the markets with stocks and the Euro falling. Bonds and the Dollar surged, but oil bucked the trend with a big gain. I am not sure how long oil can hold up in the face of a strong Dollar and weak stock market... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts of Interest: FLEX, MMM, TEVA, THO, TTWO, URBN

by Arthur Hill

FLEX Flexes its Muscles. MMM Hits Big Resistance Zone. TEVA Forms Bullish Pennant. Plus THO, TTWO, URBN This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

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SPY, GLD and USO Plunge as TLT and UUP Surge

by Arthur Hill

Even though the seasonal patterns are bullish, stocks remain under pressure and the stt trends are down... Read More 

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SPY Challenges Resistance as GLD Tests Key Support

by Arthur Hill

It looks like we had some sell-the-rumor and buy-the-news. Rumors of an EU breakdown were swirling on Thursday and this caused a sell-off in stocks. However, these rumors were squashed with an agreement to agree on fiscal constraints... Read More 

Art's Charts

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November Gaps and 50-day Lines Hold the Key

by Arthur Hill

There is not much change in the indicator summary. I upgraded the NYSE AD Line because this chart looks just like the charts for the Nasdaq and NYSE AD Volume Lines. The Nasdaq AD Line remains bearish so the AD Lines as a whole are neutral... Read More 

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SPY Breaks Short-Term Support as TLT Breaks Resistance

by Arthur Hill

The negotiation marathon continues in Brussels. The 27-nation block fell apart as the UK and Hungary opted out of the current deal. Eurocrats are, however, making progress with the remaining 17 plus 6 or so... Read More 

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Stocks Consolidate as World Waits on Europe

by Arthur Hill

Today is the day – or rather two days. The European Central Bank (ECB) will make its policy statement and the 2-day EU summit starts. There are plenty of good reads and opinions regarding the EU situation. At the end of the day it boils down to probabilities and realities... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts of Interest: ABB, ABT, ECA, HPQ, XRAY

by Arthur Hill

ABB Consolidates after Breakout Surge. ECA Bounces off Support for Potential Double Bottom. XRAY Forms Bullish Pennant. Plus ABT and HPQ. This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY Holds Uptrend, TLT Breaks Support and UUP Consolidates

by Arthur Hill

The stock market held its breadth yesterday as the major index ETFs were barely changed the entire day. No change in the short-term uptrend means the short-term uptrend remains in play... Read More 

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Charts of Interest: AGU, ALTR, AMCC, JCOM, MAS, SHAW

by Arthur Hill

AGU Consolidates after Island Reversal. MAS Challenges Flag Resistance. SHAW Forms Small Flag after Breakout. Plus ALTR, AMCC, JCOM This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Stocks Hold Short-Term Uptrends as Gold Weakens

by Arthur Hill

This could be the week that breaks the bear's back or triggers a sharp reversal at resistance. While US ties to Europe are relatively small as a percentage of GDP, Europe's influence on the stock market and Dollar has been relatively large... Read More 

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SPY Surges over 7% and GLD Follows

by Arthur Hill

That was one heck of a rally last week. SPY and QQQ surged over 7% and IWM was up over 10%. Was last week's surge an August-September surge or an October surge? A 7% surge in SPY compares to the beginning of October, which preceded a huge advance... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Market Surge Turns Indicator Summary Positive

by Arthur Hill

With this week's big move, the indicator summary flipped from negative to positive. There are clearly some judgment calls at work here. It really boils down to accepting this week's surge as the real deal. The alternative is that it was just one heck of a dead-cat bounce... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY and GLD Consolidate after Big Moves as TLT Hits Support

by Arthur Hill

This market is just itching to continue higher. As I write, the Dow futures are of over 100 points. Hints of a European deal are in the air, the US economic numbers have been pretty good and central banks are printing money... Read More 

Art's Charts

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IWM Surges over 10% in Three Days as Treasuries Correct

by Arthur Hill

Coordinated action from five central banks sparked a massive rally in the finance sector (+6.17%) that extended to the rest of the market. All sectors were up. Seven of nine were up more than 3%. Utilities and consumer staples were up less than 3%... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts of Interest: AMZN, BBY, FDX, LOW, LUV, RL, WY

by Arthur Hill

BBY Forms Dark Cloud at Key Retracement. FDX Breaks Flag Resistance. RL Traces out Bear Wedge. Plus AMZN, LOW, LUV, WY This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More