Art's Charts

August 2011

Art's Charts

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Stocks Holds Gains Despite Dip in Consumer Confidence

by Arthur Hill

The bulls held up well in the face of a bad consumer confidence report. August consumer confidence hit a two year low. Even though consumer confidence is a lagging indicator, there are fears that this could put pressure on consumer spending... Read More 

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Charts of Interest: ADM, ALL, AMX, CMCSA, NE, PEP

by Arthur Hill

ADM Bounces Along with Grains. ALL Surges on Big Volume. PEP Breaks Triangle Trendline. Plus AMX, CMCSA, NE This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY Breaks Triangle Resistance with Gap

by Arthur Hill

Stocks continued higher on Monday with another all or nothing day. Net Advancing Volume for the NYSE and Nasdaq hit +94% and +93%, respectively. All major index ETFs were sharply higher with small-caps and mid-caps leading the way... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Stocks Reverse Early Losses to Close Strong

by Arthur Hill

Stocks started weak ahead of Bernanke's speech, but rallied afterwards and closed relatively strong. Bernanke did not offer a QE3 and the speech produced little drama, which is just what the bulls needed. In fact, the reversal from 10AM to 12PM was quite strong... Read More 

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Indicator Summary Remains Negative

by Arthur Hill

There is no change in the indicator summary as the major index ETFs consolidate after their big breakdowns. New lows continue to outpace new highs. The volatility indices remain at high levels, which reflects a great amount of fear in the market place... Read More 

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SPY Traces Out ABC Flat for Wave 4

by Arthur Hill

Stocks opened strong on the heels of Warren Buffet's $5 billion investment in Bank of America (BAC). However, stocks did not finish strong. Neither did BAC or the other big banks. Selling pressure took hold after this strong open and stocks closed down... Read More 

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Late Rally Keeps Short-Term Uptrend Alive

by Arthur Hill

A late rally saved the day for the bulls as the major index ETFs closed strong. The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) led the way higher with gains around 1.5%. The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) lagged with a gain that was less than 1%... Read More 

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Charts of Interest: CVS, FNSR, GLW, MRVL, TAP, WFR, YHOO

by Arthur Hill

GLW Forms Small Wedge After Surge. MRVL Forges One Day Island Reversal. YHOO Consolidates After Mid August Surge. Plus CVS, FNSR, TAP, WFR This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Stocks Surge with Oversold Bounce off August Lows

by Arthur Hill

Stocks moved sharply higher on Tuesday with the major index ETFs gaining 3% or more. All sectors were up with energy and consumer discretionary leading the way. Wednesday's move was certainly broad based, but still considered an oversold bounce with a larger downtrend... Read More 

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SPY Drops Back to Prior Lows as Dollar Weakens

by Arthur Hill

It was pop and drop on Monday. Stocks opened strong, but gains quickly evaporated as selling pressure took over... Read More 

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Charts of Interest: AAPL, ATVI, BIIB, DE, ERTS, MCP

by Arthur Hill

AAPL Returns to Broken Resistance. BIIB Firms in 50-61.80% Retracement Zone. DE Forms Gravestone Doji above Early August Low. Plus ATVI, ERTS, MCP This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

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Major index ETFs Test the early August Lows

by Arthur Hill

Bottom-pickers and knife-catchers are no doubt eyeing current levels as the major index ETFs tests the early August lows. After a sharp decline the first week of August, trading turned very volatile with four consecutive 4+ percent swings in SPY (down,up,down,up)... Read More 

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Indicator Summary Remains Decidedly Negative

by Arthur Hill

The indicator summary remains decidedly negative and is unlikely to turn positive anytime soon. After some serious technical damage the last few weeks, the bulls need time to regroup and form some sort of base... Read More 

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SPY Gaps Down to End Oversold Bounce

by Arthur Hill

Selling pressure hit the stock market hard on Thursday as the major index ETFs declined sharply. Small-caps and mid-caps led the way lower as their respective indices declined over 5%. All sectors were lower... Read More 

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SPY Stalls at Retracement as Treasuries Surge

by Arthur Hill

The 38.2% retracements are marking resistance as the major index ETFs stutter this week. From low to high, the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) surged from 110 to 121 over the past week. Most of this move came with Thursday's surge from 113 to 119... Read More 

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Charts of Interest: GME, GR, HUM, LXK, TIN, VSI

by Arthur Hill

GME Traces out Flag within Downtrend. GR Forms Hanging Man. TIN Bounces to Key Retracement. Plus HUM, LXK, VSI This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

Art's Charts

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SPY and QQQ Stall Near Lower End Retracements

by Arthur Hill

Stocks are caught between a rock (medium-term downtrend) and a hard place (short-term uptrend). After a good bounce the last few days, stocks took a breather with some weakness on Tuesday. Actually, stocks have been trading flat since Monday's gap up... Read More 

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Charts of Interest: ABX, ANF, BBBY, NEM, RAX

by Arthur Hill

Charts of Interest: ABX, ANF, BBBY, NEM, RAX This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking. This analysis is not a recommendation to buy, sell, hold or sell short any security (stock ETF or otherwise)... Read More 

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SPY Nears 50% Retracement as Dollar Breaks Down

by Arthur Hill

Stocks extended their gains on Monday with strong breadth. All sectors were up 1.4% or more. The Energy, Finance and Utilities SPDRs surged over 3%. NYSE Net Advances Percent hit 81% and Nasdaq Net Advances Percent finished at 61%. The NYSE number was especially strong... Read More 

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Oversold Bounces Extend with Key Retracements In Sight

by Arthur Hill

The major index ETFs are now in short-term uptrends as they bounce from oversold levels. SPY tested 112 on Monday and Wednesday with an intraday dip to 110.5 in between (Tuesday)... Read More 

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Indicator Summary Remains Deeply Negative

by Arthur Hill

The indicator summary remains unchanged after a topsy-turvy week. Nine of the ten indicators are clearly in bear mode. The Nasdaq/NY Composite ratio is the only indicator considered positive because the Nasdaq is outperforming the NY Composite... Read More 

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Small Caps Lead Stock Market as Bonds Tumble

by Arthur Hill

The stock market staged another big advance in the face of adversity. This is the second such advance in the last three days. All the same, the major index ETFs remain below their closing levels from last Friday. In other words, stocks are still down for the week... Read More 

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Small Caps Lead Stock Market as Bonds Tumble $SPY $TLT

by Arthur Hill

The stock market staged another big advance in the face of adversity. This is the second such advance in the last three days. All the same, the major index ETFs remain below their closing levels from last Friday. In other words, stocks are still down for the week... Read More 

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Schizophrenic Stock Market Reverses Bernanke Bounce

by Arthur Hill

Stocks continued their wild ride with a decline that gave back Tuesday's gains. Even so, the major index ETFs remained above Tuesday's lows. In other words, Wednesday's decline is perhaps a test of the lows... Read More 

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Bernanke Makes Stocks the Only Game in Town

by Arthur Hill

In the FOMC policy statement, Bernanke signaled that the Fed is prepared to leave interest rates near zero until at least mid 2013. Say what? Bernanke must have one heck of a crystal ball to forecast interest rates so far in advance... Read More 

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Mini-crash Creates Severe Oversold Conditions for SPY

by Arthur Hill

Stocks opened weak, remained weak and closed weak. The short-term and medium-term trends are clearly down at this point, but the current trends are way oversold after the sharp decline of the last two weeks... Read More 

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S&P Downgrade Triggers Another Sharp Sell Off in Stocks $SPY

by Arthur Hill

As of this writing, the markets are in panic after Standard and Poor's downgraded US debt late Friday. Stocks, bonds and oil are down sharply overnight. Dow futures were down around 274 points at 2AM ET. The Dollar is also down, but the losses are relatively modest... Read More 

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Sharp Decline Does Serious Technical Damage

by Arthur Hill

Unsurprisingly, there were several downgrades this week as sharp declines did lots of technical damage. Last week I noted that many indicators were on the verge of turning bearish. Some turned bearish after the close on Friday and the rest followed on Tuesday... Read More 

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Flight to Safety Extends Intermarket Trends

by Arthur Hill

With another big move in stocks and bonds, the underlying trends have accelerated even further to become more extended. The only thing we can do at this point is respect the trend. The downtrend is too strong to justify longs and too oversold to justify new shorts... Read More 

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SPY and QQQ Form High-Volume Hammers

by Arthur Hill

After becoming oversold on Tuesday, the major index ETFs formed high-volume hammers on Wednesday. Today's report will feature daily charts to get some perspective. SPY dipped below 124 and below its March low, but recovered to close above 126... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts of Interest: EBAY, LSI, ORCL, SIRI, T, VZ

by Arthur Hill

EBAY Firms in Gap Zone. LSI Breaks Pennant Resistance. ORCL Tests Support with Inverted Hammer. Plus SIR, T and VZ. This commentary and charts-of-interest are designed to stimulate thinking... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Decline Accelerates as Major index ETFs Become Oversold

by Arthur Hill

Stocks are now very oversold with some long-term support levels coming into play. Over the last seven trading days, IWM is down 8.69%, SPY is down 6.75% and QQQ is down 5.59%. 10-day RSI moved below 30 for SPY and IWM, but remains above 30 for QQQ... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Pop and Drop Keeps Bears in Control of Short-Term

by Arthur Hill

Trading turned quite volatile on Monday as stocks opened sharply higher, moved sharply lower and then recovered somewhat. Despite all this pushing and shoving, the major index ETFs closed slightly lower and all sector SPDRs were down for the day... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Charts of Interest: ADM, ALK, AMX, BK, DOW, FITB

by Arthur Hill

ADM Forms Inverted Hammer within Steep Flag. DOW Bucks the Trend with Small Gain. FITB Forms Bull Flag... Read More 

Art's Charts

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Stocks Poised for Oversold Bounce and Relief Rally

by Arthur Hill

Unsurprisingly, Congress and the White House struck an 11th hour deal on the debt ceiling. Stock futures are trading higher with the Dow poised to open some 100 points up. Oil is also higher, but bonds, gold and the Dollar are lower (±5AM ET)... Read More